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PROJECT 10073 RECORD CARD -- TRANSCRIPTION
File: 1952-09-6383250-Allen-Maryland.pdf
Transcribed by Claude Sonnet 4.6 for GlitchyMatrix.com/bluebook/
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FIELD 1 -- DATE: 12 September 1952
FIELD 2 -- LOCATION: Allen, Maryland
FIELD 3 -- DATE-TIME GROUP: Local [blank] / GMT 0230
[Note: 0230Z on 12 Sep 1952
= 10:30 PM EDT on 11 Sep 1952
in Eastern Daylight Time.]
FIELD 4 -- TYPE OF OBSERVATION:
Ground-Visual [X]
Ground-Radar [ ]
Air-Visual [ ]
Air-Intercept Radar [ ]
FIELD 5 -- PHOTOS: No
FIELD 6 -- SOURCE: COC observer
[Civilian Observer Corps /
Ground Observer Corps]
FIELD 7 -- LENGTH OF OBS: 35 minutes
FIELD 8 -- NUMBER OF OBJECTS: 1
FIELD 9 -- COURSE: [NE per teletype; NE per
AI report -- moving northeast]
FIELD 10 -- BRIEF SUMMARY:
Greenish-white, red rim. Round shape.
FIELD 11 -- COMMENTS:
Does not coincide with regular releases in area.
FIELD 12 -- CONCLUSIONS:
[ ] Was balloon
[ ] Probably balloon
[ ] Possibly balloon
[ ] Was aircraft
[ ] Probably aircraft
[ ] Possibly aircraft
[ ] Was astronomical
[ ] Probably astronomical
[ ] Possibly astronomical
[ ] Other
[ ] Insufficient data for evaluation
[X] Unknown
[Note: The Project 10073 Worksheet (ATIC Test Form 334)
accompanying this report has "Insufficient Data for
Evaluation" marked as the Final Evaluation, with source
rated Fair and details of report rated Poor. The ATIC
card marks "Unknown." Both reflect the same substantive
finding: no conclusion could be reached. Database
classification as UNIDENTIFIED may reflect either
entry. Flag for review.]
Form: ATIC FORM 329 (REV 26 SEP 52)
[FLAG: Observer names appear unredacted in the FLYOBRPT
teletype and AI report: David Kolb and wife, Allen/Salisbury,
Maryland, telephone 21078. Civilian GOC volunteers.
Military personnel named: Alexander MacIlhaney Jr., 1st Lt.,
USAF (preparing officer, AI report); A.B. Gordon, Capt.,
USAF, Adjutant (transmittal letter signature).]
Supplemental documents present:
- Project 10073 Worksheet, ATIC Test Form 334 (13 Aug 52).
Reporting agency: 647 ACW, Manassas, VA. Object was
blinking (not steady). Observation over 10 minutes.
Binoculars used. No ground radar. No interception.
Object did not change direction. Balloons released in
area: Yes. Final evaluation: Insufficient Data for
Evaluation. Source: Fair. Details of report: Poor.
- Project 10073 Weather Data Sheet, ATIC Test Form 333
(13 Aug 52). Winds: 5,000-15,000 ft from 090 degrees
(east) at 20-25 knots. Above 20,000 ft winds shift to
northwesterly. No inversion layer. No thunderstorms.
Visibility: 10 miles.
- Transmittal letter, Hq 647th ACW Squadron, Manassas,
Virginia. Dated 16 September 1952. To: Chief, Air
Technical Intelligence Center, Wright-Patterson AFB,
Dayton, Ohio. Signed: A.B. Gordon, Capt., USAF, Adjutant.
- Air Intelligence Information Report, AF Form 112 (Parts
I and II). Subject: Unconventional Flying Objects
(FLYOBRPT). Area: Baltimore, Maryland. Agency: 647th
AC&W Squadron. Date of Report: 15 September 1952.
Date of Information: 12 September 1952. Evaluation: F-3
[source reliability cannot be judged; information possibly
true]. Prepared by: Alexander MacIlhaney Jr., 1st Lt.,
USAF. Source: Mr. [REDACTED] and wife.
- FLYOBRPT teletype, 2 pages. FM: CO 647 AC AND W SQ
MANASSAS VA. TO: JEPHQ/DIR OF INTEL HQ USAF WASH DC;
JEDWP/AIR TECH INTEL DTR WRIGHT PATTERSON AFB OHIO;
JEDEN/CG ENT AFB COLO SPGS COLO. Time: 12/0630Z SEP.
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SEARCH INDEX TERMS
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Allen Maryland Salisbury Maryland Eastern Shore Wicomico County
1952 September ground observer corps GOC civilian volunteer
round streamers greenish white red rim flashing blinking
northeast 2000 feet 35 minutes field glasses binoculars
647th ACW Manassas Virginia 26th Air Division no radar return
no interception insufficient data unknown low source rating F-3
David Kolb Alexander MacIlhaney low level missions balloon
does not coincide regular releases
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CASE ANALYSIS -- Claude Sonnet 4.6
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THE OFFICIAL CONCLUSION
-----------------------
Insufficient Data for Evaluation (Project 10073 Worksheet) /
Unknown (ATIC record card). The evaluation on the Air
Intelligence Information Report is F-3 -- source reliability
cannot be judged, information possibly true. This is a low-
confidence rating that accurately reflects what the file
contains. The investigating unit, the 647th AC&W Squadron
at Manassas, Virginia, did an immediate radar check (no
targets detected) and filed the report. No further
investigation was conducted or documented.
WHAT THE EVIDENCE SHOWS
-----------------------
At approximately 0230Z on 12 September 1952 (late evening
local time on the Eastern Shore of Maryland), civilian Ground
Observer Corps volunteers David Kolb and his wife, of Allen/
Salisbury, Maryland, reported an unconventional flying object
to the Baltimore GOC Filter Center. The report reached the
647th AC&W Squadron at Manassas at 0245Z.
The object as described: round with streamers, flashing
greenish-white light with a red rim, moving northeast at
approximately 2,000 feet altitude. Observation was visual
through field glasses over 35 minutes, during which the
red rim around the object grew fainter and the object faded
altogether. The object was approximately eight miles east
of the observer's position at 38°15'N, 75°45'W -- over
the coastal plain of the Maryland Eastern Shore.
The 647th AC&W made an immediate check of all electronic
equipment at 0245Z. No targets were detected in the area
of the reported sighting. No interception was attempted.
The GOC was contacted to see if the object was still
visible; at 0300Z, GOC reported the observer had watched
the object for approximately 35 minutes from the original
sighting before it faded.
Weather was clear with 10-mile visibility, temperature 67°F.
Winds at 5,000 to 15,000 feet were from the east at 20-25
knots -- meaning objects drifting with the wind at those
altitudes would move westward, not northeast. Above 20,000
feet, winds shifted to northwesterly.
POINTS OF INTEREST / WHAT GIVES ME PAUSE
-----------------------------------------
The ATIC card comment -- "Does not coincide with regular
releases in area" -- is the one substantive analytical note
in this file. It means the investigating unit checked the
object's appearance against scheduled weather balloon
releases in the area and found no match. Taken at face
value, this rules out a standard scheduled balloon.
The wind data complicates the balloon hypothesis further.
At the altitudes where weather balloons typically operate
(and where a free balloon with a green light and streamers
would drift), winds were from the east at 20-25 knots,
which would carry a balloon westward -- opposite to the
northeast direction the object was observed moving. Unless
the object was below 5,000 feet and wind data was not
measured at that level, a balloon drifting with reported
winds would not track northeast.
The AI report notes that low-level missions were being
conducted in the 26th Air Division (Defense) area at the
time of the sighting. No aircraft were detected on
electronic equipment in the area, but the caveat about
low-level missions matters: at 2,000 feet, aircraft can
operate below radar coverage from ground stations,
particularly at range. A military aircraft operating
below radar coverage, with exterior lights visible at
distance as a greenish-white flashing source with a red
position light (red rim), observed through field glasses
at eight miles range, is a plausible conventional
explanation that the file does not pursue.
The source evaluation is a real limitation. The observers
were civilian GOC volunteers -- a grocery store salesman
and his wife -- with reliability and experience noted as
"unknown." This does not mean they were wrong; it means
the file contains no basis for assessing their observational
accuracy. Thirty-five minutes of continuous observation
through field glasses is longer than a casual glance, and
the fading red rim suggests they were tracking something
real that moved away or diminished. But what they saw
through binoculars at eight miles range on a clear night
is not described in enough detail to evaluate confidently.
BOTTOM LINE
-----------
This is a thin file that honestly earned its Insufficient
Data conclusion. The balloon hypothesis has problems (wind
direction, no match with scheduled releases), but the
low-level aircraft explanation is plausible and was not
investigated. The source rating is low, the description
is brief, and no investigation beyond an immediate radar
check was conducted.
Nothing in this case demands exotic explanation. Nothing
rules out a conventional one. The ATIC's honest assessment
-- insufficient data -- is the appropriate conclusion here
and the analysis does not improve on it.
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