OCR recovered text quality varies — view PDF for accurate reading. • •
•
•
t
I. OAT;! • TIMI I. LOCATION
- . .
.-.. ...... .. ' . , l .
15.
,.. ,, . ...•..... - ,,.,.. • .. . ) •
v.~ I ' _....,
. . ' •• :.....,I
.
----------------------------------------------------------------
================================================================
PROJECT 10073 RECORD CARD -- TRANSCRIPTION
File: 1953-10-6981338-Minneapolis-Minnesota.pdf
Transcribed from document image by Claude Sonnet 4.6
================================================================
FIELD 1 -- DATE: 15 Oct 53
FIELD 2 -- LOCATION: Minneapolis, Minnesota
[Supplemental documents specify the observation post
as the roof of General Mills Aeronautical Laboratories,
2003 East Hennepin Avenue. The AF Form 112 Air
Intelligence Information Report lists area as
Ft. Snelling, Minnesota, where the 31st Air Division
was headquartered. The balloon being tracked was
floating over St. Paul.]
FIELD 3 -- DATE-TIME GROUP: Local 1010-1015 CST / GMT 1610Z
FIELD 4 -- TYPE OF OBSERVATION:
Ground-Visual [X]
Ground-Radar [ ]
Air-Visual [ ]
Air-Intercept Radar [ ]
FIELD 5 -- PHOTOS: No [X]
FIELD 6 -- SOURCE: Civilians (three research engineers,
General Mills Aeronautical Laboratories)
FIELD 7 -- LENGTH OF OBS: 40 seconds
[Individual estimates vary: 20-25 sec (observer 1),
45-55 sec (observer 2), 40-45 sec (observer 3).
The AF Form 112 summary states approximately 30 sec
horizontal and 10-15 sec vertical dive, totaling
roughly 40-45 seconds.]
FIELD 8 -- NUMBER OF OBJECTS: One
FIELD 9 -- COURSE: SE (southward; observers describe
the object heading southward then entering a near-
vertical dive)
FIELD 10 -- BRIEF SUMMARY:
Three research engineers observed a white smoke or vapor
trail at 40-50,000 ft, while tracking a 79 ft balloon at
73,000 ft through a theodolite. Object moved in horizontal
flight for approximately 30 seconds at a rate of 10 degrees
per 9 seconds (estimated 900 mph at 40,000 ft). Object then
began a vertical dive lasting 10-15 seconds during which it
was visible several times appearing to glow. As object
leveled off from dive, smoke trails ceased. Object last seen
as a grey mass through theodolite leveling out, then
disappeared in a quick flash like mirror reflecting sunlight.
Observation made from roof of General Mills Laboratory.
FIELD 11 -- COMMENTS:
One of the observers is a meteorological engineer and
considered completely reliable; the other two are also
considered reliable. Nearest AC&W facility was inoperative
at time of sighting. Two F-86 aircraft were in area south
and west of Minneapolis at approximate time, however this
does not in itself satisfy or correlate with subject
observation (per 31st Air Division).
FIELD 12 -- CONCLUSIONS: Unidentified [X]
Form: FTD SEP 63 0-329 (TDE) [later archival form]
Original reporting via AF Form 112, Air Intelligence Information
Report, prepared by 2d Lt. Timothy J. Delanty, Flt 2-A, 4602D
AISS, approved by Major Walter C. Clarke, Director of
Intelligence, 31st Air Division. Supplemental documents include:
U.S. Air Force Technical Information Sheets (Form A) from all
three observers; Form B summary data from all three observers;
speed/altitude calculation chart (Chart I); ATIC message to
31st Air Division requesting flight records search; 31st Air
Division response; forwarding cover letter from 31st Air
Division HQ.
================================================================
SEARCH INDEX TERMS
================================================================
Minneapolis Minnesota St Paul Fort Snelling 1953 October General
Mills Aeronautical Laboratories balloon theodolite Project 83021
Grab Bag vapor trail smoke trail comet-like research engineer
meteorologist B-17 pilot supersonic speed vertical dive dive
no sound silent 900 mph 40000 feet UNIDENTIFIED F-86 31st Air
Division 4602D AISS Delanty Clarke aerodynamics post-graduate
balloon tracking instrument theodolite angular velocity horizontal
flight glint flash grey mass reflective civilian engineer Hennepin
Minneapolis Minnesota 1953 fall October fireball trail
================================================================
CASE ANALYSIS -- Claude Sonnet 4.6
================================================================
THE OFFICIAL CONCLUSION
This case was evaluated as UNIDENTIFIED. The Air Intelligence
Information Report carries a source reliability rating of A-2,
meaning the sources were judged completely reliable and the
content probably true. The preparing officer stated flatly that
the information obtained was believed to be completely reliable,
and the approving officer -- Major Walter C. Clarke, Director of
Intelligence, 31st Air Division -- signed off on that assessment.
Two F-86 aircraft were found in the general area but were
explicitly not correlated with the sighting.
WHAT THE EVIDENCE SHOWS
At between 1010 and 1015 CST on 15 October 1953, three research
engineers employed by General Mills Aeronautical Laboratories
were on the roof of their facility at 2003 East Hennepin Avenue,
using a precision theodolite to track a 79-foot research balloon
floating at approximately 73,000 feet. While doing so, they
observed an unidentified object appear in the same region of sky
they were monitoring.
The object was first detectable as a comet-like smoke or vapor
trail heading southward in horizontal flight, passing below the
sun at an elevation of approximately 25 degrees. No sound was
detected at any point in the observation. The trail had an
unusual characteristic noted by multiple observers: it was
constant in length, dissipating at its rear end at the same
rate as it was generated at the front -- exactly like the tail
of a comet rather than an expanding or persistent contrail.
During roughly 30 seconds of horizontal flight, the object moved
at approximately 10 degrees of arc in 9 seconds. The observers
worked out the speed implications: at their initial altitude
estimate of 40,000 feet, this translates to approximately
900 mph. The supplemental chart they prepared shows that across
the plausible altitude range of 30,000 to 50,000 feet, the
horizontal speed was between 750 and 1,320 mph -- in every
scenario, at or above the speed of sound. Even allowing for a
generous 20 percent measurement error, the second observer
concluded the object was almost certainly moving at supersonic
velocity.
After the horizontal phase, the object went into what appeared
to be a near-vertical dive lasting 10 to 15 seconds. During
the dive it was briefly visible several times, appearing to
glow or reflect sunlight. As it leveled out, the smoke trail
ceased and the object appeared as a grey mass through the
theodolite screen. It then disappeared in a quick brilliant
flash described by multiple observers as resembling sunlight
reflecting off a mirror -- consistent with a rolling or banking
maneuver as it recovered from the dive.
In the theodolite field, the object appeared to be approximately
the same angular size as the 79-foot balloon being tracked.
Since the object was at lower altitude and thus closer to the
observers, its actual physical size would be smaller than the
balloon -- the first observer estimated 40-50 feet in longest
dimension.
POINTS OF INTEREST / WHAT GIVES ME PAUSE
These observers are about as credible as civilian witnesses get.
One was a former B-17 pilot working as a meteorological engineer.
Another was a private pilot with two years of post-graduate work
in supersonic aerodynamics. The third was a development engineer.
They were not casual passersby who glimpsed something odd. They
were professional aeronautical researchers in the middle of a
precision balloon-tracking operation, using a calibrated
theodolite with a known reference object (the balloon) in the
same field of view. They had the data to do velocity calculations.
They did the calculations and reported them.
The company matters too. General Mills Aeronautical Laboratories
was a major contractor in U.S. high-altitude balloon research
programs. These engineers built and tracked balloons for a
living. They knew exactly what balloons look like at altitude
through a theodolite. The fact that they had a 79-foot balloon
at 73,000 feet as a simultaneous reference is significant:
they could compare the object's angular size against something
they knew precisely.
The witnesses identified four specific reasons the object was
not a conventional jet aircraft despite initially defaulting to
that explanation. The speed exceeded any known jet. The vertical
dive maneuver was described as dangerously extreme if not
suicidal for a manned aircraft. A jet performing such a dive
would have been heard for miles and generated a detectable shock
wave -- there was neither. And vapor trails do not ordinarily
form during vertical motion (a point confirmed on the spot by
Col. Shomo at the 31st Air Division when they reported the
sighting that same morning).
The F-86 follow-up investigation is the right methodology but
yields a clear negative. The 31st Air Division found two F-86s
south and west of Minneapolis at approximately the right time.
The F-86 Sabre had a maximum speed of roughly 685 mph -- below
even the minimum plausible speed calculated for this object.
The reported location (south and west of Minneapolis) does not
fit the observation direction. No sonic boom was heard. The
31st Air Division concluded explicitly that this does not
correlate.
The inoperative AC&W radar at the time is noted without
commentary in the record. It is what it is: there was no
ground radar that might have confirmed or refined the track.
BOTTOM LINE
This is a well-documented, well-witnessed UNIDENTIFIED with an
unusually rigorous evidentiary base. Three trained aeronautical
professionals using precision instrumentation observed an object
that by their own calculations was moving at supersonic velocity,
executed a vertical dive that no manned aircraft of the era
could survive, produced no sonic boom despite exceeding the
speed of sound, and left a trail that behaved unlike any known
vapor or exhaust trail. Their own attempt to explain it as a
jet aircraft is documented alongside four specific reasons why
that explanation did not hold up.
The Air Intelligence officer who prepared the formal report
rated the sources completely reliable and the content probably
true. The 31st Air Division Director of Intelligence approved
that assessment. No satisfactory explanation was found.
================================================================
END OF DOCUMENT
================================================================
----------------------------------------------------------------